Sector analysis and case studies

The impact of the modernised Agreement may vary considerably across different actors, sectors, and issues. Therefore the general analysis of economic, social, human rights and environmental impacts will be complemented by assessments of about five economic sectors and about ten different thematic case studies. The selection of sectors and case studies is currently ongoing.

The selection of sectors is based on four main criteria:

  • Criterion 1: Importance of a sector for the economy. This is determined by looking at the relative importance of a sector in terms of its share in GDP, employment and value added, as well as its role in innovative drive, and the enabling nature of a sector for other sectors;
  • Criterion 2: Magnitude of the modernised Agreement’s expected economic impact on the sector, based on the results of the Commission's CGE model simulations;
  • Criterion 3: Magnitude of the Agreement’s expected social, human rights and/or environmental impact based on a quick screening of literature and engagement with stakeholders;
  • Criterion 4: Importance of specific issues raised by stakeholders and issues of particular relevance/importance/sensitivity from a negotiating perspective. The goal of the SIA is to generate analytical and stakeholder-driven findings that are relevant for the ongoing negotiations, as well as address those issues which are considered of high importance by stakeholders and civil society in general.

For case studies, in principle the same criteria will be applied, but the selection by nature is less structured than the selection of sectors for the sectoral analysis.